Latest Reports

October 20, 2025

Analyzing Inflections in AI Engagement & Resonance across Consumer

By David Schick

We are fielding questions on both subsectors and companies and the changing dynamics of the “consumer attention economy” in an increasingly AI driven environment.   According to a variety of estimates, between 50-60% of Americans are…

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October 14, 2025

Rural Credit Interruption, Relief Uncertainty Cited in Government Shutdown Focused Event

By Jonathan Feeney

Last Friday (10/10), we hosted a virtual client event on Government Shutdown Impacts from Farm to Table featuring 3 government affairs leaders with extensive USDA & legislative experience.   Key highlights below—please reach out with questions….

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October 9, 2025

Further Softening Into October (26/30 Subsectors Decelerate) + Attention Economy Analysis – Optimal Consumer Discretionary Briefing Book

By David Schick

Softer discretionary trends recently … we note real-time decel in 26 of 30 proprietary Optimal subsector tracking: positive inflections in gas stations, airlines, and beauty … versus negative inflections in broadline and e-commerce (notable together) along with apparel, accommodation,…

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October 6, 2025

Gov Shutdown Day 6 – Analysis of Impacts to Consumer Spending, Sectors, Sentiment, and Stocks

By David Schick

We are fielding questions (over the last few days) about our thoughts on the potential impact of any prolonged government shutdown. The current shutdown is now 6 days long (and counting). Recent shutdowns have been…

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October 1, 2025

4 Key Beverage Industry Takeaways from Client Call with Leading Distributor

By Jonathan Feeney

Yesterday (9/30), we hosted a client call on front-line beverage alcohol trends with the President of a leading private distributor. Key highlights below—please reach out with questions. Environment Improving into Holiday, but Assortment Under Pressure….

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September 25, 2025

Spending Softer in September, Cost Factor Up: Optimal Consumer Staples Briefing Book

By Jonathan Feeney

September spending is softening somewhat across our 16 proprietary real-time spending cohorts (pp 5-12). Strong spending momentum in hard discounters, premium grocery, & grocery delivery – powered by explosive growth in Amazon Fresh while sustained…

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